This is the second installment of my article looking back over the past five years at Portland housing statistics. Part One examined the real reason for the housing crisis which officially commenced in 3Q 2007, and looked at the historic numbers for average and median (i.e. “mean”) sale prices according to the RMLS™. The link to Part One is here.
The Rest of the Story. Besides pricing over the past five years, what about time on the market? Available inventory? Number of listings? Closed sales? Let’s look at each one:
1. Time on the Market. Until 3Q 2007, an overheated real estate market was still burning through inventory. In August 2007, the average time on the market was 56 days – less than two months from listing to “pending sale.”[1] The following month, September, 2007, banks began realizing that the drumbeat of subprime defaults was not going away. They tightened their underwriting requirements almost immediately. Over time, they began to even restrict borrowers from tapping their HELOCs based upon ZIP code. As short sales and REOs began to fill the real estate marketplace, buyers and appraisers began viewing the sales figures as legitimate comps by which to gauge present value. All the while, many potential buyers remained on the sidelines, waiting for prices to hit bottom.[2] Many sellers who were fortunate enough to have equity during the following five years had to decide whether to wait until the market turned, or sell their home and recover far less equity than they had earlier.[3] Continue reading “Portland Metro Housing Prices – The Last Five Years [Part Two]”